Note those Independent “leaners” – folks who say they’re Independents but on follow up admit to leaning towards a party – were actually more likely to support the party’s nominee than initial partisans who identify only weakly: while 92% of
As in previous years, party served as a screen through which candidates were perceived: whether you thought Clinton was honest, or Trump even-tempered, depended significantly on your own party identity.
Those high in factual political knowledge were more likely to vote for the candidate that matched their issue positions (e.g., 78% of low-information voters who opposed Obamacare voted for Trump, compared to 89% of high-information voters who opposed Obamacare). Smallest
57% of all the campaign events were in just four states (FL, NC, OH, and PA); the top ten most-visited states accounted for 88% of all events.
Different survey modes and different respondents, but the electorate does *not* seem to have perceived Clinton or Trump as much different ideologically speaking from their party’s previous nomineees.
The leaners – those who say they’re Independents but then say they “lean” towards a party – again turned out to be more reliable partisans than those who said they were Democrats/Republicans but only had a weak identity. See more